Among the most actively traded options tied to the VIX in recent sessions have been those tied to the gauge jumping to as high as 47.5 or 30, a sign that some traders are positioning for more tumult later this year.
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It has now been more than three months since the S&P 500 has pulled back at least 3%, one of the longest such stretches since World War II, Deutsche Bank research shows. The average weekly move for the benchmark has been less than 1% in either direction.
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Correlations within stocks haven't been this low since late 2017 and early 2018, around the time a burst of volatility known as "Volmageddon" jolted markets. If stocks across the S&P 500 start moving in lockstep once again, that would drive volatility higher.
Daily market moves might also be blunted by an income-generation strategy that has grown on Wall Street. Investors are heavily selling call contracts, known as over-writing, to pocket premiums while giving buyers the right to buy shares at a specific price, by a specific date.
"There's massive, really relentless call overwriting in the market right now—maybe the most extreme I've seen in my career," said Alex Kosoglyadov, managing director of global equity derivatives at Nomura.
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