#Cuba, #Nicaragua & #Venezuela look set for more of the same in 2021 says The Economist…
In Cuba the Castro dynasty will formally come to an end after more than 60 years. At a Congress of the ruling Communist Party in April, Raúl Castro (aged 89) will step down as its first secretary, having handed over the country's presidency in 2019 to Miguel Díaz-Canel, a younger party bureaucrat. (Raúl inherited both jobs from his elder brother, Fidel.) Cubans will be watching to see whether Mr Díaz-Canel becomes head of the party too, or whether he will share leadership, and whether the Stalinist or reformist wing of the party comes out on top in the new politburo. The Castros aren't quite finished: Raúl's son, Alejandro, runs the intelligence services.
Nicaragua's dictator, Daniel Ortega, will use an election in November to inaugurate his dynasty, seeking to turn his eccentric wife, Rosario Murillo, into his successor as president. Electoral fraud is guaranteed, and so is a new wave of protests.
Venezuela's political conflict will enter a new phase in 2021.
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